Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Pence Campaign Comfortable With Poll Showing Nine-Point Lead

The Fort Wayne Journal-Gazette's Niki Kelly reports on an internal poll released by the campaign of Republican gubernatorial hopeful Mike Pence. The poll shows Pence holding a 9-point lead over Democrat John Gregg, 46-37%. Libertarian candidate Rupert Boneham's support is at 5% according to the poll, with another 10% undecided. The poll has a margin of error rate of 5.6% and includes only likely voters. That contrasts with a recent internal Gregg poll claiming only a 6-point Pence advantage over Gregg, 46-40%, with Boneham receiving the support of 6% of the likely voters surveyed. A Howey Politics-DePauw poll taken in September gave Pence a 47-34% lead, or a difference of 13 points. It appears to me that support for Boneham's third party candidacy is eating into Pence's potential advantage over Gregg. I still think Pence is a clear favorite to win, but his winning margin may not be as large as some Republicans had anticipated earlier in the campaign when Pence held a commanding double-digit lead over Gregg.


guy77money said...

Pence will walk away with this election. I do hope the old Mike Pence shows back up in Indiana not the guy who has become once with the Washington elite. Not sure if you saw this Gary.

Rockport Indiana Gasification Contract Approval Reversed

per Mason's Blog

Gary R. Welsh said...

I'm not wasting my energy on discussing that court opinion. There is an easy way around it and Pence isn't going to seek to block it. Leucadia and Lubbers won.