Monday, October 15, 2012

Rasmussen Poll Puts Mourdock Up By Five

A Rasmussen poll released today with just three weeks to go in the U.S. Senate race between Richard Mourdock (R) and Joe Donnelly (D) shows Mourdock with a 5-point, 47-42% lead over Donnelly. Other polls have shown the two candidates statistically tied in the race to succeed Senator Richard Lugar (R). Mourdock trounced the six-term incumbent in the May primary election, capturing 61% of the vote. Mourdock has been repeatedly lambasted by the mainstream media in Indiana, which is seeking revenge on him for toppling their favorite Washington insider. The race has become one of the most costly Senate races in the country with millions of dollars in independent expenditures being spent by SuperPACs on behalf of both candidates. The Rasmussen poll of 600 likely voters was taken October 10-11 and has a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Rasmussen is viewed as one of the most reputable polling firms in the country. Its polling during the 2008 presidential election proved to be the most accurate of all polls.


LamLawIndy said...

Gary, do u have access to the crosstabs on the Rasmussen poll? I'd like to see what their predicted voter universe looks like in terms of R/D/L/I.

Gary R. Welsh said...

The post on their website was very brief, Carlos. Those details weren't provided.

D_Vargas said...

Rasmussen was not the most accurate pollster in 2008.

Obama won by a 7.3 margin, 52.9 to 45.6 percent.

CNN & Ipsos both had Obama by a 7-point margin, 53 to 46 percent.

Rasmussen had Obama winning by only a 6-point margin, 52 to 46 percent.

A study by Fordham University found that eight pollsters were more accurate than Rasmussen in 2008.