Voter discontent in Indiana is thought to be so strong that the state could provide three of the 15 seats Democrats need to take control of the House. In addition to the north-central Indiana seat Chocola holds, Indiana's two Republican-held southern seats are viewed as up for grabs.
"Indiana is literally the center of the universe right now," said Amy Walter, who tracks House races for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. "To have three Republican incumbents in a very Republican state either tied or behind their Democratic opponents, what is that?"
I've said it before, and I'll say it again. Election returns will start rolling in here long before the outcome of many of the other contested races around the country will be known. If election returns show the 2nd's Chris Chocola, the 8th's John Hostettler and the 9th's Mike Sodrel all losing to their Democratic opponents, you can be assured that Democrats will recapture more than the 15 seats needed to control the House. If Democrats can pick up 2 of the 3 Indiana races, their chances of recapturing control are still better than 50%. If they pick up only one of the seats, it's likely to go down to the wire as to which party controls the House.