The campaign of Richard Mourdock released the results of an internal campaign poll today that shows Mourdock leading Sen. Richard Lugar in the primary race by 42-41%. The poll was administered by McLaughlin & Associates and was taken April 16-17. The poll surveyed 400 likely Republican voters and has a margin of error of 4.9% in either direction. A poll taken in January by the same polling firm showed Lugar leading Mourdock by 12 percentage points, 48-36%. The number of undecided voters actually increased by a single percentage point from 16% to 17% in the latest survey.
The latest survey also shows Mourdock's favorable rating increasing by 11 percentage points at the same time Lugar's favorable rating fell 10 percentage points. The candidates' respective favorable ratings are now nearly equal. Particularly concerning for Lugar is that his favorable rating is now below 50% with just 47% of the respondents saying they view him favorably compared to 46% who said they viewed Mourdock favorably. Lugar is now viewed unfavorably by 39% compared to 22% who view Mourdock unfavorably. Even worse for Lugar is the survey's finding that among those who had a firm opinion of both candidates, Mourdock is leading 55-36%. You can view the pollster's memo discussing the poll's results by clicking here.
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