I am predicting the Mayor's proposed public safety tax will not pass when it comes up for a vote on Monday. There are at least two previous "yes" votes that are now in the "no" column. The dissention in the ranks is growing. It's unclear whether the apprehension is coming from an angry public or the Councilors see the Mayor as politically vulnerable and have no desire to take the hit. This could change as the week goes by, but as of today, the votes are not there to pass a tax increase.
There are unconfirmed reports that Mayor Peterson's re-elect numbers have taken a dive in recent polls, including at least one independent poll. Typically, Peterson's campaign folks are floating favorable numbers to the media to spin their message that he is invincible. That's been noticeably absent since he won his party's nomination in May. Don't be surprised to see some folks hedging their bets and throwing some money Greg Ballard's way in the coming weeks.